Ben Bernanke Thinks Bitcoin will Fail

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Yet that is what he did when he held out a friendly hand to the notion of fantasy currencies in a ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate to the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Government Affairs. Understandably, this improbable endorsement from the guardian of the mighty dollar sent the value of the Bitcoin soaring. Until recently, the Bitcoin was seen as a novel, experimental, somewhat piratical cyberspace Monopoly money that has proved useful in moving money around the world without the hampering and costly help of banks, which slow things down, waste days while the cash lingers in limbo, and take a hefty slice of every transaction.

Bernanke sees far beyond the illicit uses of virtual currencies as a means of paying for contraband or shuffling hot money around without being traced. He believes they could become an ingenious means whereby the globalized market in legitimate goods and services can work more efficiently without the dead hand of the banks. The Fed chairman told the Senate Committee members, who are anxious that something outside the control of Congress ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate be used as a currency for criminals and terrorists, to think before consigning Bitcoin and similar monetary confections to oblivion.

Competing private currencies have long been seen by free market economists as the holy grail. So long as the state governs the price of money through interest rates and insists that only one currency can be used in a geographical area, there is no chance of approaching a truly free market.

We remain a long way from his ideal of a world where countries protected by patriotism and highly-defended borders are succeeded by competing commercial city-states fueled by a borderless international free market in labor.

If private currencies like Bitcoin take off, economic history may trace a new era of world trading, both in goods and currencies, to the moment that Bernanke served final notice on the all-powerful state-run currencies the dollar, the euro, and the pound sterling that their monopoly days are over.

The sharp-tongued Hayek was never more acrid in his comments than when writing about the misuse by governments of their control of money and the money supply. A Way to Stop Inflation. There is no reason whatever why people should not be free to make ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate, including ordinary purchases and sales, in any kind of money they choose.

He had in mind existing currencies competing with each other, so Americans might prefer to use the yen or the peseta when they went to the store, rather than the dollar. By such competition, Hayek believed currencies would be kept honest and would not devalue as they tended to do when governments used inflation to get themselves out of fiscal trouble.

There have, of course, always been many alternatives to currencies. Now, when people want to avoid the inflationary aspects of central bank actions, such as quantitative easing, they invest in stocks, in the hope the market will retain or even add value to their savings.

Others prefer to buy gold, even though it, too, is a gamble and can fluctuate in price. Virtual currencies mark the death knell of such traditional safe havens and will dissolve, too, to that favorite fantasy of free market enthusiasts: With virtual currencies competing to maintain their value against each other as well as against the traditional currencies and precious metals such as gold and silver, the conventional ways of safely hoarding wealth may become redundant.

There is, however, a profound hitch to this brave new world. We have passed this way before. Governments, who currently have ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate sole legal right to print money, flood the market in their ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate, which leads to devaluation, which in turn leads to inflation, which is what Hayek, a victim of ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate central European hyperinflation of the s, detested above all.

The Confederate dollar was an example of a currency that collapsed as Robert E. Before the Civil War there were a number of other competing currencies in America, ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate of which went by the board. When they collapsed they took with them the savings of Ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate who misplaced their trust in them.

If we are about to witness an explosion in competing currencies we can expect similar collapses and the human tragedies that will accompany them. Hayek looked at only the bright side, where ideal currencies kept pace with each other and goaded each other through healthy competition to maintain their value and ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate inflation at bay.

But as we have seen from the events ofeven the best laid plans of bankers go awry. When things go wrong, banks desert their customers. And who picks up the pieces? Why, the elected government, of course, for it alone is responsible for the welfare of its people. Only effective regulation can ensure that banks entrusted with our money will be there when we need to withdraw our cash. We have seen what happens when there is a lack of regulation: The same applies to virtual currencies.

Without a framework of rules, virtual currencies will leave their customers vulnerable. Caveat emptor is not a smart enough response to the prospect of currency collapses. He did not believe in laissez-faire, which is why absolutist free market advocates like Ayn Rand called him a compromiser and spat at him at parties. He believed markets should be carefully regulated to ensure they worked efficiently and fairly.

Virtual currencies will only catch on if they are thought to be honest and reliable. And the only way of ensuring that is to treat them like conventional banks. As Ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate Reagan would put it: We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links.

Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http: Five years ago, Webmoney was the least troublesome way for people outside Russia to buy online services inside Russia. I would say that this is prima facie evidence that where virtual currencies try to compete with other payment systems, they pretty quickly turn out to be uncompetitive.

How did that work out for them? The article seems to miss the point that a viable alternative currency tends ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate make the political class more honest.

The US Federal Reserve operates on the assumption that the world can recognize another reserve currency. The dollar, imperfect as it is, still inspires much more confidence than the Euro or Bitcoin. Bitcoin is probably mentioned because the Fed wants to associate private currencies with narcotics and child porn. If the Euro did not exist today, the Fed would be far less responsible. No one has explained how the US will handle its debt other then by inflating the currency.

Other governments have followed that path since ancient times. Another alternative is a simple refusal to pay the debt: But inflation is simply a time-lapse default. Other governments have done that as well. Today, people can shift out of dollars easily and the Federal Government lacks the effective power to prevent them from doing so. Bitcoin is honest and reliable. The mathematics of it are very clear and can be verified by anyone who bothers to walk through the cryptography techniques.

Bitcoin itself does not need regulation. Existing laws still apply to bitcoin, when bitcoin is finally exchanged for a more conventional currency. No one controls it. Treating Bitcoin like it is some kind of virtual bank is entirely inappropriate. It is a virtual commodity, not a currency. The trust with government money is you know who issued, what it can buy, how bad it can get.

Rest is a ponzi scheme. Can you imagine the horror of a reserve currency that was so volatile? BTC is volatile because it has extremely poor liquidity. Another reason why it is not a candidate for the reserve currency of ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate entire world economy. The brothers will have triumphed over the Facebook debacle permanently.

Barter would attain greater trust than Bitcoin, unless we are all so disconnected from real life via digital devices et al, that we cannot discern the difference. As opposed to totalitarian governments and power systems where the community has no say, such as trans-national corporations…. Have we all forgotten the lessons of history already? Is everybody still a Friedmanbot even after the collapse of the edifice built upon his ideology?

The twisted politics of enforced economic pain. Posted by AlkalineState Report as abusive. Posted by lordbaltimore Report as abusive. Posted by Burns Ben bernanke bitcoin exchange rate as abusive. Rest is a ponzi scheme Posted by daffa Report as abusive. On what planet does Bitcoin compete with the US dollar for reserve currency status? This has to go down as one of the most misinformed things I have read this year. Posted by cheezwizard Report as abusive.

As opposed to totalitarian governments and power systems where the community has no say, such as trans-national corporations… Have we all forgotten the lessons of history already?

Posted by Benny27 Report as abusive.

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The chief scientist for the digital currency talks about its appeal—and pitfalls—in a world of fiat money. James Freeman Could a virtual currency created by an anonymous Internet hacker someday replace the U.

Gavin Andresen, the year-old lead software developer for the Bitcoin project, is eager to find the answer. That's the grand experiment. Thousands of mostly small online merchants are already accepting payment in Bitcoin, though this virtual currency has no intrinsic value and isn't tied to anything that does.

Andresen, a Princeton graduate who once wrote technical standards for 3-D graphics on the Internet, Bitcoin has already begun to replace the U. In November, the Bitcoin Foundation, where he serves as chief scientist, began paying him in the virtual currency. So far he has persuaded his barber to accept this new money, but only from Mr.

A haircut costs half a Bitcoin. The IRS won't accept Bitcoins, but that doesn't mean his salary is tax-free. Taxes are computed based on the dollar equivalent. Andresen and I walk down a street in Amherst, Mass. Andresen's job is to help refine the software that allows Bitcoins to be traded and stored. He finds the work "fun and terrifying. To demonstrate the convenience of exchanging the new money, he shows me in a few moments how to set up a digital wallet with a service called BlockChain and then sends me 0.

There are plenty of ways to transact digitally with traditional currency too, but Mr. Andresen describes the "huge mess" he encountered when he tried to rent a house in France and was buried in fees and delays in wiring the money. With Bitcoin, "the whole world is now your market. The terrifying part of his job is that almost all of the current Bitcoin services now use the same software, so that "any change to the core code has potentially disastrous impact.

If everybody rolls out a new version and there's some problem with it, the whole Bitcoin payment network could grind to a halt. Technical glitches, hacker attacks, speculation and fraud have caused wild swings in the dollar price of Bitcoins. The shutdown "popped the bubble," says Mr. So trading has been disrupted and Bitcoins have been stolen and lost. Andresen says they have been counterfeited only once, and the problem was identified and resolved.

It could happen again in the future, he warns, though he believes it is highly unlikely. That's an open question," says Mr. There are key attributes of the Bitcoin model that are attracting a growing following beyond tech hobbyists. Bitcoin offers privacy and, perhaps most important, an easy way to transact business across borders. The currency cannot easily be confiscated by any government—which also makes Bitcoin attractive to criminals, including drug dealers.

The criminal appeal is one reason it's not easy to buy Bitcoins. A series of startups created to sell Bitcoins to buyers using credit-card numbers failed after the card numbers turned out to be stolen and the encrypted Bitcoins had been sent off into the ether, never to be recovered.

As a result, those wishing to buy Bitcoins now must typically pay fees to wire the money, though startups are working on cheaper and easier ways to trade dollars for Bitcoins. As for the upside, small online merchants would welcome a global payment standard.

For this reason Bitcoin or a similar technology could threaten the power of not just central banks, but banks, period. Unlike online payment services that give people with credit cards easier ways to transact business, Bitcoin works best when avoiding the traditional financial system completely. But perhaps the most intriguing aspect of Bitcoin—at a time when the world's central banks are creating lots of new money—is the promise that the number of Bitcoins will be capped at 21 million.

The software is hard-coded to create that amount over the course of decades, on a prearranged, transparent schedule. Bitcoins are created and awarded when people use powerful computers to solve mathematical puzzles, which become more difficult over time as more people compete to solve them. At the moment, there are more than 11 million Bitcoins in circulation. Politicians and their appointees are entirely cut out of Bitcoin's monetary loop.

This is a significant difference between Bitcoin and government-issued fiat currencies. Like Bitcoin, the world's dollars, euros, yen and pesos carry no guarantees they can be redeemed for gold or some other commodity at a fixed price. On the other hand Bitcoin, unlike those other currencies, is not legal tender for paying debts. Thus it's not clear to everyone why the world really needs this grand experiment in virtual currency.

E-commerce continues to expand using existing payment networks that rely on traditional banks and government-issued currencies. And despite the Fed's extraordinary effort since the financial crisis to push money into the economy, most observers see few signs of inflation. What's the problem that Bitcoin solves? He opens his wallet and presents me with a gift: He bought a stack of them online for one Bitcoin from a man in Poland. Andresen makes clear that he is not drawing a parallel with the "responsible" people who run the Fed.

And actually before they got to those bills I think they knocked nine zeros off of their old currency. He adds that he would "not be at all surprised if Bitcoin really took off in a big way in some other part of the world first. During the recent panic in Cyprus, the surging value of Bitcoin captured much media attention. Andresen says the gains then were not likely to have resulted from Cypriots seeking a better currency, as some had speculated. Instead, he suspects that spike came from traders sensing an opportunity and perhaps some Spanish, Italians and Russians wondering about the value of their assets.

The reality is that, unlike Ben Bernanke at the Fed, Mr. Andresen is not in charge of Bitcoin. No one is—unless you count Satoshi Nakamoto, the name used for the creator of this new form of money. But that person may or may not even exist. Andresen says he hasn't heard from the person or people known online as Satoshi Nakomoto in a couple of years, and as far as he knows neither has anyone else at the Bitcoin Foundation.

But the software that this mysterious figure created is what makes Bitcoin, or something like it, an intriguing potential medium of exchange, particularly given the transparent plan for creating a fixed amount of currency. It is perhaps a laughable commentary on the current mania for monetary stimulus that this feature is what seems to have inspired the most criticism of Bitcoin.

The knock on Bitcoin is that its fixed nature will cause an inevitable destructive deflation. As more people use the currency, demand for Bitcoins will grow beyond the finite supply and force up the value of each one, which will force the prices of goods to fall over time.

This is portrayed as a recipe for economic disaster by those who like to inflate currencies to relieve the burden on borrowers, including spendthrift governments. It's true that deflations have sometimes accompanied economic disaster, but also economic triumphs. Over a lunch of lamb stew at a French restaurant in Amherst's downtown, Mr. He is open about the fact that he owned Bitcoins for years before they became his monthly pay, and he would be among those benefiting from a deflation that makes each Bitcoin more valuable.

But he also notes potential general benefits from deflation. If prices are falling, he says, it does encourage people to save instead of spend, because the currency will be worth more later.

It encourages people to lend instead of borrow. And for those who wish to avoid both inflation and deflation, what about a digital currency programmed to maintain stable prices, avoiding mischief by central bankers as well as the possibility of deflation? He says the engineer in him likes the simplicity of Bitcoin's fixed money supply. It's almost time for Mr. Andresen to get back to work. He shares some useful advice about Bitcoin: A version of this article appeared May 4, , on page A13 in the U.

Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at or visit www. Wall Street Journal, May 3, Bitcoin vs. Ben Bernanke The chief scientist for the digital currency talks about its appeal—and pitfalls—in a world of fiat money.

Freeman is assistant editor of the Journal's editorial page.